Wednesday Forecast: Hot and Hazy With a Low Thunderstorm Chance

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In its forecast issued at 9:57 a.m. on Sunday 1 November, the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service expected initially fair conditions to give way to some cloudy periods from late morning or early afternoon. It forecast a few light to moderate showers through the afternoon.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 1 Nov, 9:57 a.m. Trinidad time ↗

The forecast gives a medium chance of an isolated heavy shower with thunderstorm activity. The service says gusty winds and street or flash flooding are possible near heavier showers or thunderstorms; this is a forecast, not a report that flooding has occurred.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 1 Nov, 9:57 a.m. Trinidad time ↗

The morning forecast expected fair conditions later on Sunday. In its subsequent general forecast issued at 3:24 p.m. on 1 November, the Met Service forecast a mostly fair night with a possible brief shower. For Monday, it expects partly cloudy periods, light to moderate showers and a medium to high chance of isolated thunderstorms, mainly from late morning to late afternoon.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 1 Nov, 3:24 p.m. Trinidad time ↗

The service warns that heavy showers or thunderstorms can bring gusty winds and street or flash flooding nearby. This is a forecast of possible conditions, not confirmation that flooding has occurred.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 1 Nov, 3:24 p.m. Trinidad time ↗

The general forecast issued at 5:47 a.m. on Monday 2 November expects sunny, hazy conditions interrupted by cloudy periods and intermittent showers in different areas. It gives a medium, 60 per cent chance that one or two showers could become heavy and thundery. The Met Service forecasts some cloudy periods and occasional showers tonight, with a few heavier showers possible over Tobago. Gusty winds and street or flash flooding may occur near heavy showers and thunderstorms; this is not confirmation of an actual flood.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 2 Nov, 5:47 a.m. Trinidad time ↗

In its 10:12 a.m. Monday forecast for the afternoon and night, the Met Service expects cloudy periods with showers or rain and a medium, 60 per cent chance of isolated thunderstorms. Conditions are expected to settle gradually by evening, although lingering showers and a low, 30 per cent chance of a heavy shower or thunderstorm remain, favouring Tobago. Gusts and street or flash flooding remain possible near heavier showers; these are forecast risks, not confirmed incidents.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 2 Nov, 10:12 a.m. Trinidad time ↗

In its general forecast issued at 3:45 p.m. on Monday 2 November, the Met Service expects cloudy but settled conditions tonight, interrupted by brief showers or rain, with a medium, 40 per cent chance of isolated thunderstorms. For Tuesday 3 November, it forecasts showers or rain and a medium, 60 per cent chance of thunderstorms, favouring but not confined to Tobago and northern Trinidad. Conditions should mostly settle by late afternoon or early evening. Gusts and street or flash flooding remain possible near heavier showers; these are forecast risks, not reports of flooding.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 2 Nov, 3:45 p.m. Trinidad time ↗

The official general forecast issued at 6:03 a.m. on Tuesday 3 November expects partly cloudy conditions becoming cloudier from morning to mid-afternoon, with light to moderate showers or rain in varying areas of Trinidad and Tobago. It gives a medium to high chance of isolated thunderstorms, then expects a generally fair evening and night. The Met Service says gusty winds and street or flash flooding are possible near heavy showers or thunderstorms; it does not report that flooding has occurred.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 3 Nov, 6:03 a.m. Trinidad time ↗

The Met Service’s 10:48 a.m. Tuesday forecast gives a 40–60 per cent chance of afternoon thunderstorms and expects more settled conditions later. Tonight’s thunderstorm chance is 25 per cent; gusts and local flooding remain possible near heavy showers.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 3 Nov, 10:48 a.m. Trinidad time ↗

At 1:45 p.m., Trinidad and Tobago Weather Center reported a heavy thunderstorm affecting the Southwestern Peninsula. It warned of heavy rain and possible street or flash flooding in prone areas, while expecting rainfall to ease later. This is the provider’s weather report and warning, not confirmation of flooding.

Sources: Trinidad and Tobago Weather Center, 3 Nov, 1:45 p.m. Trinidad time ↗

In its general forecast issued at 4:42 p.m. on Tuesday 3 November, the Met Service expects fair to partly cloudy, hazy conditions with isolated showers tonight. Wednesday 4 November should be hot, sunny and hazy, interrupted by cloudy spells and isolated showers. It gives a 30 per cent, low chance of isolated afternoon heavy showers or thunderstorms, favouring hilly and western areas. Mild to moderate Saharan dust is expected. The service warns that gusts and street or flash flooding may occur near heavy showers in prone areas; that is a forecast risk, not confirmation of flooding.

Sources: Met Service general forecast, 3 Nov, 4:42 p.m. Trinidad time ↗